Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 54.800780 62.375436 70.210638 78.889757 88.204132 97.871405 108.634632
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 42.154601 52.699064 64.203096 77.557336 92.508963 108.618808 127.175667
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 35.333802 47.463995 61.232634 77.752410 96.783080 117.789981 142.506645
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 30.217507 43.375141 58.851657 77.957412 100.496232 125.867320 156.222942
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.432440 40.356011 57.272055 78.682430 104.454912 133.940591 169.702425
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 22.551029 36.752976 54.594347 77.745403 106.164924 139.184288 179.743938
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 20.235745 34.914660 53.889758 79.024097 110.369842 147.235967 192.971124
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 18.390647 33.501980 53.563984 80.638861 114.882012 155.587315 206.518239
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.880651 30.888390 51.449983 79.799135 116.222909 160.032731 215.360770
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 13.295766 27.876130 48.566673 77.760212 115.896917 162.329891 221.532072
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.623198 27.696346 49.536089 80.763891 121.942728 172.421708 237.121804
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.726459 27.064808 49.801054 82.777630 126.695829 180.917063 250.793970
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.026207 24.962163 47.852378 81.733128 127.485620 184.529073 258.594269
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.504992 22.971622 45.928154 80.611742 128.096084 187.869278 266.040941
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.465719 21.698011 44.981268 80.776469 130.346117 193.237896 275.972719
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.552324 20.534455 44.116784 80.991479 132.617514 198.608275 285.899626
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.841303 19.666397 43.651462 81.733075 135.568408 204.834668 296.899731
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.899538 18.175802 42.077968 80.773758 136.145975 207.969175 303.997931
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.441215 17.653334 42.056432 82.082976 139.821279 215.111605 316.162780
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.077981 17.291908 42.275537 83.736040 143.968678 222.877530 329.140220
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.391129 16.037014 40.878139 82.876434 144.573400 225.986878 336.190639
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.642465 14.435494 38.746241 80.788909 143.376690 226.672036 340.106481
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.576398 14.665809 39.921220 83.864023 149.511105 237.073713 356.507922